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Housing Starts, CPI Data In-Line, Dick's Outperforms

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Tuesday, August 16, 2016

This morning, we see reports on Housing Starts and Building Permits, as well as the Consumer Price Index (CPI). At first blush, we’re seeing numbers in-line with expectations; thus, market futures are not being shaken up by the results.

Housing Starts rose 2.1% in July to an annualized rate of 1.21 million, whereas 1.18 million had been expected. We continue to see a drop year over year in multi-family housing (which had been the growth driver in previous quarters). Single-family housing remains down roughly 25% from the historical average; we see no pop in this segment from July.

Building Permits dipped 0.1% to 1.152 million, which is slightly below estimates. This follows improved builder confidence reported yesterday, although it should be pointed out this has to do with the higher-cost end of the market; entry-level housing growth remained elusive in July.

CPI for July was expected to be unchanged, and that’s exactly what was delivered: UNCHED. Minus food and energy costs, this figure bumps to +0.1% (+0.2% was expected). Year over year, CPI is up 2.2% ex-food & energy, marking the 9th straight month with a consumer price index at 2% or higher. Inflation-wise, it’s tough to demonstrate steadiness more clearly.

As mentioned, we haven’t seen market futures much affected by these results — currently, the Dow looks to open down 44 points, the Nasdaq -10.25 and the S&P 500 -5. Overnight we saw markets down slightly across Europe between 0.38 and 0.87%.

Not much to shake the needle either way, but the pre-market downward pressure is most likely a function of hitting new highs during Monday trading without a new catalyst to push equities higher in the near-term.

Then again, we see some better-than-expected earnings results from another couple major specialty retailers. Actually, Home Depot (HD - Free Report) reported bottom-line profits that matched the $1.97 expected on slightly improved revenues to $26.472 billion. Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS - Free Report) easily topped earnings expectations by reporting 82 cents per share (69 cents was expected), and raised guidance for its fiscal year; shares of Dick’s have blossomed 8.5% in early trading.

Mark Vickery
Senior Editor


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